Time Series Modeling of Students' Performance in Mathematics among the Selected Four Senior High Schools in Bongo District, Ghana

Abstract

The study paper aims at examining the pattern in the performance of students in mathematics using analysis of the time series. Analysis of the time series was carried out on a longitudinal data of the performance of students' in mathematics for four consecutive years, from 2015 to 2018. The research employed the Box-Jenkins methodology. The study revealed that the performance of the students in mathematics was best represented with a quadratic pattern and ARIMA (0,0,0). Further, the results showed that the students ' performance in mathematics is likely to stagnate in the near future as seen in the forecast curve. The study concluded that the average mathematics performance of the students over the four-year period is very low and this suggests a decrease in the standard of education within the district of Bongo.